I just finished 4th in the Premier League and didn't experience this really. I lost quite a few games, but that was mainly down to not paying enough attention to the matches and altering my approaches to each team.
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if the theory that re-ranking doesnt happen until january then as i was media predicted 15th i should really be the underdog in most games. heres why i think thats wrong - i went 6 games in a row were i got beat although 5 were 1-0 i still got beat. then i won 2 in a row. the following game i played blackburn at home and was the underdog for the match. i drew the game 1-1, 3 games followed and i won them all, 2-0, 4-1, 4-0. that put me 6 unbeaten! who were next? Man utd, out of nowhere the media said was the favourites! for me to be the favourites to beat man u at old trafford in the re-ranking theaory this would have to be my 2nd season and with the first where i won almost everything.
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You're confusing pre-match odds with re-ranking.
Pre-match odds take form into account when they are decided - in much the same way that a real-life bookie would do. This may trigger a
slight change in the way the AI line up against you, it's nowhere near as major as re-ranking.
In my game with Villa I didn't really hit my stride until about January. From then on I had leaned how my tactics worked much better, had experienced far more scenarios then before and managed to react better to certain situations. Had it not been for the rather annoying fixture scheduling of Man Utd (A), Arsenal (A), Tottenham (H), Arsenal (A), in four games (league and cup), my morale may have been even higher and I wouldn't have been so close to losing 4th spot at the end of the season.
None of the teams I played came out against me much differently post-January as the had done in the reverse of that fixture (once you factor in the obvious change in attitude for being home or away). The odds, however had significantly changed - Liverpool were odds-on favourites to beat me at Villa Park in November, but the return leg in around February time had us as slight favourites for the game. It didn't really make Liverpool play any more cautiously against me (as far as I could tell), but had I gone solely on the pre-match odds I would probably have been caned. As it was I won 2-1. Sweet!
Conclusions: odds aren't the same as re-ranking. I base my approaches now more on whether I expect to win based on my own knowledge of the team I'm playing and the scout reports. Then I watch the first 10-15 minutes and switch to another strategy if the first one doesn't work.